International Workshop on Oil Depletion  Uppsala, Sweden, May 23-25, 2002 Organised by Uppsala University and ASPO,the Association for the Study of Peak Oil

Invited speakers:

The assessment and importance of oil depletion	Colin J. Campbell, Ireland (ODAC)	Abstract
U.S. Energy Policy Issues	Matt Simmons, Houston, USA	Abstract Full text
Russian oil and gas: A realistic assessment	Ray C. Leonard, Yukos Oil, Moscow, Russia	Abstract
Middle East view of the oil situation	Ali Bakhtiari, Iran	Abstract
Norwegian Experience	Eric Mathiesen , Norwegian Petroleum Directorate
Modelling future liquids production from extrapolation of the past and from ultimates	Jean Laherrere, France	Abstract Full text
Past oil forecasts, and the "Limits to Growth" message	Roger W. Bentley, UK (ODAC)	Abstract
An Overview of US Hydrocarbon Supply  and the Possible Impact of New Alaskan Reserves	Jeremy Gilbert, Irland	Abstract
The Depletion of the North Sea and its Significance for Europe	Peter Gerling, Bundesanstalt fuer Geowissenschaften und Rohstoffe, Germany	Abstract
Renewable Energy in Europe - Past and Fututure	Werner Zittel, Ottobrunn, Germany	Abstract
Consideration on Renewable Electric Energy Systems	Mats Leijon, Uppsala, Sweden	Abstract
Raising awareness of the issue	Sara Astor, London, UK
Building Limited Fossil Energy Supplies into the World Monetary System	Richard Douthwaite	Abstract
Climate Change and Oil Depletion	Rui Rosa (Evora University), Portugal	Abstract
Climate Change and Oil Depletion:  Opportunities for a Common Cure?	Jurgen Lefevre, Foundation for International Environmental Law and Development (FIELD), UK	Abstract
The Western geopolitics of energy supply:  a short-sighted approach to the global energy shift	Susanne Peters, Giessen University, Germany.	Abstract
Summary	Kjell Aleklett, Uppsala, Sweden	Abstract
Submitted contributions to the workshop
Impact of oil depletion in Sweden	Gunnar Agfors, The Royal Swedish Academy of Engineering
Coming Oil crisis - will there be some surviving?	Pavel Stroev, Folkecenter for Renewable Energy, Denmark	Abstract
Ruralisation, a possible planning method to avoid impacts from reduced energy input	Folke Günther, Lund University, Sweden	Abstract
Economics and Peak Oil: lessons from offshore.	Maarten van Mourik, Karmsund, Norway

The workshop is open for additional contributions.  Abstracts on contributions can be sent to Kjell Aleklett.

 

Organizing Committee:  Prof. K. Aleklett, Uppsala, Sweden, chairman  Dr. R.W.Bentley, London, U. K. Dr. C. J. Campbell, Cork, Ireland Dr. Klaus Illum, Denmark Prof. S. Kullander, Uppsala, Sweden Prof. M. Leijon, Uppsala, Sweden ASPO Representatives (adviser committee). Dr H. Fechner, Austria, Österreichisches Forschungs- und Prüfzentrum Arsenal Ges.m.b.H.  Dr Prof. F-W Wellmer, Germany, Bundesanstalt fur Geowischenshaften und Rorstof Prof W. Blendinger, Germany Clausthal University Dr W. Zittel, Germany, L-B Systemstechnik Dr C. Sage, Ireland, University College, Cork Mr O. Kristiansen, Norway, Norwegian Petroleum Directorate Mr J. Karlsen, Norway, Rogaland Research, Prof. R Rosa, Portugal Geophysical Centre, Evora University Prof. M.Coleman United Kingdom, University of Reading The workshop is sponsored by: The Swedish Energy Agency  The Royal Swedish Academy of Engineering Stena AB Uppsala city Uppsala University

 

The Workshop has been organised to address the impact of resource constraints and natural depletion on the global supply of oil, one of Europe 's most critical energy sources.  The Workshop will examine geological mechanisms of oil generation, the processes of extraction, and the nature of depletion as imposed by reservoir physics.  The workshop will address also the unreliable nature of public data on oil reserves, the record of past oil forecasts, and the misunderstanding of the 'Limits to Growth' message of the 1970s. It will question the ability of conventional economics to handle a rapidly depleting resource, and draw attention to the impact of oil's decline on Europe's economic situation. It will ask why governments are not better informed, and why they fail to make appropriate preparations to ease the impact of the transition from growing to declining oil supply, which is likely to be a major historical discontinuity.  The Workshop will conclude with recommendations for remedying past failures in understanding the issue, and with proposals for improving the database, and for working towards a new system for managing oil depletion, a subject too serious to be left to market forces, or the sole interests of producer countries.  In short, the Workshop aims to address one of the critical near-term issues affecting Mankind.